Blog
My random thoughts on science, math, and occassionally the places and animals I encounter.
Back of the envelope calculation of R_0 for the SARS-Cov-2 Delta strain
A quick back of the envelope calculation of the viral reproductive number for the SARS-Cov-2 Delta strain based on readily available data. Read More
How much COVID is there, exactly?
A back of the envelope calculation of the total mass and volume of SARS-Cov2 in an infected individual and in the world where we discover that if Cov-2 infected all of humanity, it would make a viral mass roughly the size of a polar bear. Read More
Happy New Year! How effective does a vaccine have to be to eliminate SARS-Cov2 from the planet?
A back of the envelope calculation of the total fraction of the population that must be protected by a vaccine to drive SARS-Cov2 to extinction. Read More
What does it mean to socially distance PART 2
In this post, I set out to study at the heterogeneity in COVID infections across states in the USA. We will discover that there is lots of heterogeneity among states. Read More
What does it mean to socially distance
In this post, I work through the math to figure out exactly how important it is for us to be strict about social distancing. There's been a lot said about the community benefits of distancing, but I wanted to take a look at social distancing from the perspective of an individual, not a society. Read More